BRISTOL – Scientists have raised alarm bells about the long-term future of our planet, predicting a grim scenario where extreme heat could render the Earth largely uninhabitable for mammals, including humans, in approximately 250 million years.

A ground-breaking study, led by an international team of researchers, suggests that tectonic movements will culminate in the formation of a supercontinent—dubbed “Pangea Ultima.” Located predominantly in the tropics, this vast landmass is expected to endure brutal temperatures due to a confluence of factors. Not only will the sun burn brighter, but tectonic activities will also trigger massive volcanic eruptions, releasing unprecedented amounts of carbon dioxide (CO2) into the atmosphere. This potent combination is anticipated to heat the planet to lethal levels, with only 8% to 16% of this supercontinent deemed fit for habitation.

Dr. Alexander Farnsworth, the study’s lead author from the University of Bristol, explained the dire predictions: “The emergence of this supercontinent sets off a lethal trifecta—a potent mix of the continentality effect, an increasingly radiant sun, and surging CO2 levels. The aftermath? A landscape largely devoid of sustenance and water—inhospitable for mammalian life.”

He further elaborated that humans, along with several mammalian species, would succumb to the deadly heat, failing to regulate their body temperatures effectively. “Projected widespread temperatures fluctuating between 40C to 50C—exacerbated by oppressive humidity—spell doom. The inability to dissipate this intense heat, primarily through sweating, would be the death knell for many,” cautioned Dr. Farnsworth.

Preliminary data suggests a worrying rise in CO2 levels—from the present 400 parts per million (ppm) to a staggering 600 ppm at the juncture of Pangea Ultima’s formation. Notably, this projection operates on the assumption that fossil fuel consumption halts. Professor Benjamin Mills, who mapped out the study’s CO2 forecasts, warned of an expedited timeline if humans persist in their carbon-intensive activities. “Should we continue our current trajectory, these grim milestones will materialize far sooner than anticipated,” he stated.

This research, published in the acclaimed Nature Geoscience journal, unequivocally emphasizes the dire need for immediate climate action. The devastating implications of temperature escalation on human health are already palpable. “While our findings shed light on a desolate, distant future, the ramifications of our present-day actions are immediate and tangible. The urgency to attain net zero emissions is paramount,” asserted co-author Dr. Eunice Lo, also from the University of Bristol.

Without change, humanity has no chance

Without change, humanity has no chance

The study’s multifaceted approach entailed simulations of temperature, wind, rainfall, and humidity trajectories for Pangea Ultima. Moreover, the team drew upon tectonic plate movement models, ocean chemistry, and biological data to pinpoint prospective CO2 levels. A significant revelation of their research is the essentiality of considering continental distribution while assessing other potentially habitable planets. Simply existing within a solar system’s habitable zone does not guarantee a planet’s suitability for life.

Summarizing the profound implications of their research, Dr. Farnsworth expressed, “The long-term prognosis is distressingly bleak, with CO2 concentrations possibly doubling current levels. Our findings underscore the intricate balance of our environment and the profound repercussions of our actions.”

This seminal study offers a compelling lens into the potential trajectory of our planet, highlighting the necessity of sustained environmental stewardship. As the world grapples with a contemporary climate crisis, the vision of a scorching supercontinent serves as a poignant reminder of the Earth’s vulnerability—and humanity’s pivotal role in safeguarding its future.

©globalgreenhouse.eu


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